Monday, 21 October 2019

Cycle Highlighter for Amibroker (AFL)


Cycle Highlighter for Amibroker (AFL)


 //
//  Derived from Millard's "Tribute to J M Hurst" book, using centred MAs to
//  visualise the cyclic components and a 'best fit' sine wave (red) to
//  extrapolate to the right-hand edge.
//
//  The sine wave is anchored at the most recent trough or peak in the cycle
//  highlighter line. The red and blue spikes show the start point of each plot
//  as far as the correlation goes. Change the "Best fit # recent cycles"
//  parameter to move these. In the title, the first correlation number (blue)
//  is the correlation coefficient between the cycle highlighter and the fitted
//  sine wave in the best fit 'window' and the red number in brackets is the
//  correlation between the *price* and the sine wave over the projected end
//  period (from where the cycle highlighter stops to the right-edge).
//


function TriMA(array,periods)
  {
   pds = (periods+1)/2;
   pds = IIf(frac(pds)==0, pds, pds+1);
   return MA( MA(array,pds), pds);
  }

function CycleHighlighter(Periods,Price)
  {
   P1 = int(Periods*1.5);  //due to lag characteristics of Tri MA
   P1 = LastValue(IIf(frac(P1/2)==0,P1+1,P1));
   P2 = int(p1/2);
   P2 = LastValue(IIf(frac(P2/2)==0,P2+1,P2));
   MA1 = TriMA(Price,P1);
   MA2 = TriMA(Price,P2);
   PC1 = (P1-1)/2;  //Centre MAs
   PC2 = (P2-1)/2;
   CMA1 = Ref(MA1,PC1);
   CMA2 = Ref(MA2,PC2);
   Cyhi = CMA2-CMA1;
   global Revcount;
   global end;
   Revcount = LastValue( BarIndex() ) - BarIndex();
   end = revcount<PC1;
   return IIf(end, ValueWhen(revcount==PC1,Cyhi,1), Cyhi);
  }

function AnchoredSine(BaseCycle,LookbackCycles,Method,Periods,Shift)  //input should be a cycle function from the cycle highlighter
  {
    global BCpk;
    global BCtr;
    global BCStart;
    global sineamplitude;
    //define "best fit" window from BC peaks and troughs over # of lookbackcycles
    BCpk = HHVBars(Basecycle,5)==2 AND BaseCycle<Ref(Basecycle,-1) AND end==0;
    BCtr = LLVBars(Basecycle,5)==2 AND BaseCycle>Ref(Basecycle,-1) AND end==0;
    BCStart = IIf(ValueWhen(BCpk OR BCtr,BCpk,1), ValueWhen(BCpk,BarIndex(),1+Lookbackcycles), ValueWhen(BCtr,BarIndex(),1+Lookbackcycles) ) ;
    BCStart = BarIndex()==LastValue( ValueWhen(end==0,BCStart,1) );
   
    //derive *recent* average wavelength of Base Cycle (over # of lookbackcycles) from peaks and troughs
    BCpkpds = LastValue( ValueWhen(BCpk,BarIndex(),1) - ValueWhen(BCpk,BarIndex(),1+LookbackCycles) ) / LookbackCycles;
    BCtrpds = LastValue( ValueWhen(BCtr,BarIndex(),1) - ValueWhen(BCtr,BarIndex(),1+LookbackCycles) ) / LookbackCycles;
    BCpds = (BCpkpds+BCtrpds)/2;
   
    Periods = IIf(Method==0, Periods, BCpds);   

    //now determine suitable amplitude from StDev of Base Cycle during "best fit" window
    sineamplitude = LastValue( StDev( BaseCycle, LastValue(BarsSince(BCStart)) ) *1.5 );
   
    //now determine where sine wave is anchored to BaseCycle
    //i.e., most recent of a BaseCycle Peak or Trough
    pkOffset = LastValue( ValueWhen(BCpk,BarIndex(),1) )-2; 
    trOffset = LastValue( ValueWhen(BCtr,BarIndex(),1) )-2;
    //Offset = (pkOffset+trOffset)/2;
    if ( LastValue( ValueWhen(BCpk OR BCtr,BCpk,1) ) )     //RECENT ANCHOR POINT IS A PEAK
      {    sine = sin( (Cum(1)-pkOffset+Periods/4-Shift)/Periods * 6.283185 ); }
    if ( LastValue( ValueWhen(BCpk OR BCtr,BCtr,1) ) )     //RECENT ANCHOR POINT IS A TROUGH
      {    sine = sin( (Cum(1)-trOffset+Periods*3/4-Shift)/Periods * 6.283185 ); }   
    return sine*sineamplitude;
  }


Pds = Param("Base Cycle Wavelength", 60, 3, 1000, 2);
Price = IIf(ParamToggle("Price Field", "Mid Price | Close", 0)==0, (H+L)/2 , C);
CycNo = Param("Best fit # recent cycles", 3, 1, 10);
Method = ParamToggle("Sine Wavelength", "As Base Cycle | Best Fit", 0);
Shift = Param("Manual Shift", 0, -100, 100);

BaseCycle = CycleHighlighter(Pds,Price);
Refsine = AnchoredSine(BaseCycle,CycNo,Method,Pds,Shift);

//Find start of Sine Cycle
Sinepk = HHVBars(Refsine,5)==2 AND Refsine<Ref(Refsine,-1);
Sinetr = LLVBars(Refsine,5)==2 AND Refsine>Ref(Refsine,-1);
SineStart = IIf(ValueWhen(BCpk OR BCtr,BCpk,1), ValueWhen(Sinepk,BarIndex(),1+CycNo), ValueWhen(Sinetr,BarIndex(),1+CycNo) ) ;
SineStart = BarIndex()==LastValue( ValueWhen(end==0,SineStart,1) );
sinamp = IIf(LastValue(ValueWhen(BCpk OR BCtr,BCpk,1)), sineamplitude, -sineamplitude);

//Predicted date & time of next peak or trough (for title)
SineWavelength = LastValue( ValueWhen(sinepk OR sinetr,BarIndex(),1) - ValueWhen(sinepk OR sinetr,BarIndex(),3) );
NextPk = Max( 0, SineWavelength - LastValue(BarsSince(sinepk)) - 2 );
NextTr = Max( 0, sineWavelength - LastValue(BarsSince(sinetr)) - 2 );
Bars = IIf(Nextpk<Nexttr,nextPk,nextTr);
Type = WriteIf(Nextpk<NextTr,"peak","trough");

//Correlation between Sine and base Cycle over "lookback" window
LookbackBars = LastValue( Max(BarsSince(BCStart),BarsSince(sineStart))-BarsSince(end==0) );
CorSineBC = LastValue( ValueWhen(end==0,Correlation(BaseCycle,RefSine,Lookbackbars),1) );
//Correlation between Sine and Price in "end" period
EndBars = LastValue( BarsSince(end==0) );
CorEnd = LastValue( Correlation(Price,RefSine,EndBars) );
//Overall correlation
Cor = ( (CorSineBC*Lookbackbars)+(CorEnd*Endbars) ) / (Lookbackbars+Endbars);

Title = EncodeColor(colorGreen) + "CYCLE HIGHLIGHTER\n" + EncodeColor(colorGrey50) + "Base Cycle Wavelength = "
        + EncodeColor(colorBlue) + NumToStr(Pds,1.0) + " bars\n" + EncodeColor(colorGrey50)
        + "Sine Wavelength = " + NumToStr(sineWavelength,1.0) + "bars\n"
        + "correlated " + EncodeColor(colorBlue) + "over " + WriteVal(CycNo,1.0) + WriteIf(CycNo>1," base cycles"," base cycle") + EncodeColor(colorGrey50)
       + "\nprojected next: " + EncodeColor(colorDarkRed) + Type + " in " + NumToStr(bars,1.0) + WriteIf(Bars>1," bars"," bar") + EncodeColor(colorGrey50)
        + "\ncorrelation = " + EncodeColor(colorBlue) + NumToStr(CorSineBC,1.2) + EncodeColor(colorRed) + " (" + NumToStr(CorEnd,1.2) + ")";

Plotcolour = IIf(end, colorLightGrey, ParamColor("Colour",colorBlue) );
Plot(Refsine,"",colorRed,styleNoLabel);
Plot( BaseCycle, "Cycle Highlighter", Plotcolour,  ParamStyle("Style",styleThick) | styleNoLabel);
Plot( 0, "", colorLightGrey,styleNoLabel);
Plot(BCstart*sinamp,"",colorBlue,styleNoLabel);
Plot(sineStart*sinamp,"",colorRed,styleNoLabel);

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